UNEP Global Environment Outlook, Chapter 16: Scenarios and Sustainability Transformation

This chapter, entitled "Scenarios and Suitability Transformation," is part of the United Nations Environment Programme's (UNEP's) Global Environmental Outlook (GEO)-5 publications.

The GEO-5 provides an overview of the current state of the environment, key drivers and pressures globally and seeks current and potential future responses. Chapter 15 focuses on summarizing currently available scenarios developed by academia, research institutes, and international organizations to outline the present situation and explore possible sustainable futures. In this chapter (16), goals and thresholds set by international agreements and key publications are used to identify unsustainable trends. Its final section outlines key measures that are necessary for the sustainability transformation that will help society toward a more sustainable path.

Coordinating lead authors: Begum Ozkaynak, Laszlo Pinter and Detlef P. van Vuuren

Lead authors: Livia Bizikova, Villy Christensen, Martina Floerke, Marcel Kok, Paul Lucas, Diane Mangalagiu, Rob Alkemade, Trista Patterson, John Shilling and Darren Swanson

Contributing authors: Andrea Bassi, Fabio Feldmann, Jill Jäger, Washington Ochola, Weishuang Qu, Kilaparti Ramakrishna, Claudia Ringler, Pinar Ertor (GEO Fellow) and Natalia Pervushina (GEO Fellow)

Chapter coordinators: Matthew Billot and Nalini Sharma